Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.002424 0.002568 0.002721 0.002898 0.003098 0.003318 0.003581
2025-04-06 0.002158 0.002346 0.002557 0.002815 0.003126 0.003495 0.003978
2025-04-13 0.001995 0.002210 0.002460 0.002779 0.003185 0.003700 0.004433
2025-04-20 0.001816 0.002033 0.002291 0.002630 0.003076 0.003666 0.004556
2025-04-27 0.001736 0.001967 0.002248 0.002627 0.003147 0.003872 0.005049
2025-05-04 0.001699 0.001947 0.002257 0.002690 0.003309 0.004225 0.005856
2025-05-11 0.001641 0.001897 0.002223 0.002688 0.003375 0.004442 0.006498
2025-05-18 0.001619 0.001890 0.002243 0.002761 0.003559 0.004878 0.007718
2025-05-25 0.001568 0.001842 0.002203 0.002743 0.003598 0.005072 0.008521
2025-06-01 0.001511 0.001784 0.002146 0.002695 0.003580 0.005159 0.009112
2025-06-08 0.001493 0.001776 0.002157 0.002749 0.003738 0.005609 0.010968
2025-06-15 0.001470 0.001759 0.002155 0.002781 0.003860 0.006020 0.013122
2025-06-22 0.001426 0.001714 0.002112 0.002751 0.003877 0.006227 0.014916
2025-06-29 0.001373 0.001654 0.002045 0.002677 0.003808 0.006226 0.015868
2025-07-06 0.001335 0.001614 0.002006 0.002646 0.003813 0.006409 0.018146
2025-07-13 0.001271 0.001535 0.001906 0.002510 0.003606 0.006023 0.016631
2025-07-20 0.001247 0.001512 0.001887 0.002507 0.003659 0.006314 0.020039
2025-07-27 0.001240 0.001513 0.001904 0.002565 0.003838 0.007003 0.029915
2025-08-03 0.001218 0.001492 0.001887 0.002563 0.003893 0.007367 0.040630
2025-08-10 0.001214 0.001496 0.001909 0.002630 0.004106 0.008328 0.101623
2025-08-17 0.001191 0.001472 0.001885 0.002614 0.004132 0.008668 0.238233
2025-08-24 0.001163 0.001439 0.001847 0.002569 0.004088 0.008734 0.628638
2025-08-31 0.001157 0.001439 0.001860 0.002619 0.004272 0.009813 NaN